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FRIDAY APRIL 4 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #14 of 2014 looks like $159 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up 40% from the four-year average for this weekend.  All credit goes to the second Captain America, as Disney has...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Forecast AUGUST 1-3

Weekend #31 of 2014 is looking like $150 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 16%from the norm for this weekend and the first up weekend since June 13-15.   Opening at around 3,800 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 a...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 11.21-23.2014

Weekend #47 of 2014 is looking like $227 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 22% from the norm for this weekend and similar to this weekend last year (which also featured the opening of a Hunger Games installment). Op...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 2.20-22.2015

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #8 of 2015 looks like $106 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, a little softer than it looked yesterday but still somewhat above the norms for this weekend. ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 5.15.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #20 of 2015 looks like $172 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, somewhat above the norm for this weekend. Opening at 3,473 theaters Friday, Pitch Perfect 2 from Universal i...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 7.31.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #31 of 2015 looks like $143 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, near the norm for this weekend (see track below). Opening at 3,956 theaters Friday, Mission: Impossible — R...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 12.11-13.2015

Weekend #50 of 2015 is looking like a soft $72 million for the top 12 films this weekend, below what we usually see this weekend (see comparisons below). In the Heart of the Sea from Warner Brothers should open with $12.5...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 8.19-21.2016

Weekend #34 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 19-21, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projectio...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS September 30-October 2

> Hey, go see this movie. A fairly strong weekend is in store in terms of overall box office volume, up about 9% from the same weekend last year.  Most of the business will go to returning films Dolphin Tale, Money...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 20-22

>Weekend #16 of 2012 looks like it will be about $105 million for the top 12 films, down 14% from last year’s comparable weekend (led by Rio’s second weekend) but up 6% from the four-year average for this weekend.&n...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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A SHOWBUZZDAILY Guide to Movie Profitability (Or Not) – Part I: Budget

  Let’s start with something simple:  anyone who claims to have reliable knowledge about the profitability of a specific film, without having detailed access to its production budgets, financing documents and key ta...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS Nov 30-Dec 2

This weekend is normally dead.  On average, last weekend (the three days after Thanksgiving) is the 7th busiest of the year, while this weekend (the first in December) is normally ranked 50th in terms of volume.  Last year, t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS June 7-9

The 23rd weekend of the year is looking like a wobbly $127 million for the top 12 films, well under the same weekend the last few years.  Three out of four weekends in May were anchored by solid commercial films (Iron Man 3, S...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JANUARY 24 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #4 of 2014 looks like $94 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, within a few percentage points of comparable weekends the past few years. Opening at 2,753 theaters Friday, I, Fran...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY MAY 9 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #19 of 2014 looks like $127 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 10% from the norm for this weekend (somewhat better than we expected due to the impressive strength of Neighb...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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