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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.6-8.2015

Weekend #10 of 2015 is looking like $93 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the normal volume for this weekend (see track below). Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 aver...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 6.26-28.2015

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #26 of 2015 now looks like $175 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, better than it looked yesterday and closer to hitting the norms for this weekend.  Jura...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS JUNE 12

> Super 8 misses the Top 20 Worldwide Gross list, while Hangover Part II, Kung Fu Panda 2 and X-Men: First Class continue to move up the rankings. Super 8 joins the Worldwide Gross list just outside the Top 20 (tied for 21st pl...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE July 18-24

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 16% versus last year’s comparable week (the second significant increase in as many weeks).  Year-to-date box office is now down 6% versus last year...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY NOVEMBER 11 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>THERE IS A GOD!  Adam Sandler’s latest movie in which he plays a brother and a sister will not be the #1 movie of the weekend.  While not a flop, it failed to open to the $30-35 million his fans usually pony up...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT August 8 Update

>Rise of the Planet of the Apes allowed Team Salem to pick up some ground, but Team Metcalf remains $73 million ahead in the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, thanks to decent second and third week business for his titles. ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions MARCH 28-30

Weekend #13 of 2014 is looking like $122 million for the top 12 films, 14% below the typical volume for this weekend the past few years. Opening at around 3,400 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for op...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 19 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #38 of 2014 looks like $91 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 6% above the norm for this weekend ($86 million). Opening at 3,604 theaters, The Maze Runner from 20th Century Fox ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY FEBRUARY 14 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #7 of 2014 looks like $171 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 30% ahead of this weekend’s average the past several years.  The Lego Movie continues to lead the box office...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS through October 30

>Real Steel is knocking on the $200 million worldwide door, as the overseas gross to date jumped above $100 million (outweighing a downgrade in our domestic total estimate).  Picking up steam, Paranormal Activity 3 doubled...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY MAY 16 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #20 of 2014 looks like $177 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up a very good 21% from the norm for this weekend.   Opening at 3,952 theaters, Godzilla from Warner Brothers ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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International Box Office through July 14

Updated international box office chart:
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JUNE 24 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>Cars 2 exceeds its forecast, but will it hold up?  Bad Teacher also blows past its forecast, driving the weekend up 16% over the same weekend last year. Cars 2 opened with $25.4 million on Friday, and it looks like the Pi...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE October 17-23

>Final box office grosses for the weekend came in late, and the top three movies were somewhat lower than projected on Sunday.  For example, the Paranormal Activity 3 opening weekend was projected to gross $54.0 million on...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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American Sniper: Putting the Phenomenal Box Office in Perspective

One useful way to look at box office momentum is to compare the Opening (normally the first Friday-Sunday or in some cases the first wide-release weekend and all the additional days before that) to the Next 7 Days, the first fu...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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