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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES September 16-18

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), The Lion King returned to theaters 17 years later — in 3D no less — and scored a solid #1 for the weekend.  Drive opened okay, while Stra...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS November 4-6

> $59.99 for home VOD — Genius! Box office normally starts to pick up when the calendar turns to November, moving from $90-100 million per weekend through most of October to $120 million or more per weekend in early Novem...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS December 16-18

>After three very rough weekends, this weekend should be very solid at the box office.  We expect the top 12 films to gross around $145 million, up sharply from the $128 million the same weekend last year.  The second...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT June 17 Update

> It’s not looking good for Team Metcalf, which is about $160 million behind Team Salem in the first annual ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  And it’s not going to get any better this weekend.  Even if Sa...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES: July 15-17

>Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 opened with a record  $168.6 million and is on a phenominal track.  Winnie the Pooh is a very quiet opener in contrast.  This weekend is up a stunning 4...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS AUGUST 26-28

>Keep your helmets on: the studios are about to drop three more bombs in movie theaters this weekend.  A horror movie, an action flick and an adult comedy are being released, and we expect each to gross not much more than ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE Sep 30-Oct 2

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 11% versus last year’s comparable week, thanks to solid continued business for Dolphin Tale, Moneyball and The Lion King in 3D.  Year-to-date box office ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY NOVEMBER 18 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>Twilight’s latest, Breaking Dawn Part 1, is opening close to what we expected, but Happy Feet Two was not as able to weather the storm as strongly as we projected.  Overall, the weekend is running 20% ahead of the s...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE December 19-25

>A little late, but for the record, the updated year to date box office figures for wide releases show that 2011 is now back to -4.2% behind 2010.  Also, 2011 is now even with the average of the last four years (after paci...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS MAY 27-29 — UPDATED: Two Hits Open Simultaneously

> Memorial Day weekend brings two strong openers and what should be a very solid weekend — well ahead of last year’s numbers for the weekend. Opening at 3,615 theaters, The Hangover Part II should average a very str...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE July 18-24

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 16% versus last year’s comparable week (the second significant increase in as many weeks).  Year-to-date box office is now down 6% versus last year...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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PATHWAY TO PROFITABILITY — The Studio View

>At ShowBuzzDaily we look at the movie year in three parts: the soft Winter/Spring year-part from January through April, the strong Summer season from May-August, and the slow-starting but soon sizzling Fall/ Holiday season fro...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS October 21-23

> This weekend looks like it will have a very solid opener (the best since August 5, when Rise of the Planet of the Apes bowed) but the weekend as a whole should still lag behind the same weekend last year.  The third...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS December 2-4

>Very lame weekend ahead, as is normal for the first weekend in December.  Coming off the last two weekends, which are usually the #1 and #15 weekends of the year in terms of total dollar volume, this weekend is usually ra...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES January 6-8

>The Devil Inside looks like a $34-35 million opening weekend based on studio estimates (Friday and Saturday actual results with estimates for Sunday).  The top 12 films combined total this weekend has been reduced to $128...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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