The weekend now looks like $77 million for the top 12 films, up a bit from the estimate yesterday. End of Watch, House at the End of the Street and Trouble with the Curve are all within a few thousand dollars, according to the studio estimates for the weekend. The rank order could easily change tomorrow morning when the actual numbers for Sunday are tallied.
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final estimates for films opening wide this weekend: Trouble with the Curve ($47 million), End of Watch ($46 million), House at the End of the Street ($26 million), The Master ($25 million) and Dredd 3D ($15 million).
Second week films: Finding Nemo 3D ($57 million, down significantly from a $70 million initial estimate last week) and Resident Evil: Retribution ($42 million, down from a $53 million estimate last week).
Third week films: The Words ($13 million, steady with last week).
Fourth week films: The Possession ($51 million, down $1 million from last week) and Lawless ($41 million, even with last week).
| Weekend 38: Sep 21-23, 2012 | ($ millions) | ||||
| vs Last Wknd | Wknd Studio Proj. | Showbuzz Domestic Final | |||
| End of Watch | Open Road | 13.0 | 46 | ||
| House at End of Street | Relativity | 13.0 | 26 | ||
| Trouble with the Curve | WB | 12.7 | 47 | ||
| Finding Nemo 3D | Disney | -43% | 9.4 | 57 | |
| Resident Evil: Retribution | Sony | -68% | 6.7 | 42 | |
| Dredd 3D | Lionsgate | 6.3 | 15 | ||
| The Master | Weinstein | +579% | 5.0 | 25 | |
| The Possession | Lionsgate | -54% | 2.6 | 51 | |
| Lawless | Weinstein | -47% | 2.3 | 41 | |
| ParaNorman | Foc/Uni | -26% | 2.3 | 58 | |
| Bourne Legacy | Uni | -42% | 1.6 | 116 | |
| Odd Life of Timothy Green | Dis | -41% | 1.5 | 54 | |
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $77 million total Friday-Sunday, up from yesterday’s initial $73 million estimate but still down a hefty 27% from the same weekend last year and down 16% from the average comparable weekend the last four years.
| ($ millions) | |||
| WEEKEND #38 | Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend | |
| 2012 | $77 | End of Watch $13, House End Street $13, Trouble Curve $12.7 | |
| 2011 | $106 | Moneyball $20, Dolphin Tale $19, Abduction $11 | |
| 2010 | $91 | Wall Street 2 $19, Legend of Guardians $16 | |
| 2009 | $83 | Surrogates $15, Fame $10, Pandorum $4 | |
| 2008 | $88 | Eagle Eye $29, Nights in Rodanthe $13 | |
| Avg 2008-11 | $92 | ||
Opening Next Week
Opening wide next weekend are Hotel Transylvania from Sony/Columbia (animation featuring the voices of Adam Sandler and Kevin James), Looper from Sony/TriStar (sci-fi action starring Bruce Willis and Joseph Gordon-Levitt) and Won’t Back Down from 20th Century Fox (drama starring Viola Davis and Maggie Gyllenhaal). These films will be compared to the following openers from the same weekend last year: Courageous ($9.1 million opening weekend), 50/50 ($8.6 million), Dream House ($8.1 million) and What’s Your Number? ($5.4 million).
International grosses will be updated as available.
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