Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #3 of 2013 is now on pace for $122 million, up from the $113 million estimate yesterday and now running ahead of the pace for the comparable weekend the past several years. Just about every film in the top 12 picked up the pace with solid business on Saturday.
Mama now looks like an opening three-day weekend of $28 million (up two million from yesterday’s estimate) and is now headed for $79 million total domestic.
The Jessica Chastain weekend continued with a very good Saturday for Zero Dark Thirty ($7.3 million yesterday, way up from $4.5 million Friday). Zero‘s weekend pace has also been increased by more than two million dollars, and the final domestic gross has been increased to $105 million.
Silver Linings Playbook has also been adjusted upward in terms of both its weekend gross (now over $11 million) and its final domestic potential ($73 million).
Broken City starring Mark Wahlberg and Russell Crowe ($23 million final domestic) and The Last Stand starring Arnold Schwarzenegger ($17 million final domestic) are destined for anonymity.
| Weekend 3: January 18-20, 2013 | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Weekend Studio Estimate | Actual Fri-Sat Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| Mama | Uni | [15.2] | 26.0 | 28.1 | 10.1–11.0 | 79 | |
| Zero Dark Thirty | Sony | [14.3] | 15.2 | 17.6 | 4.5–7.3 | 105 | |
| Silver Linings Playbook | Weins | [9.4] | 9.8 | 11.3 | 2.9–4.6 | 73 | |
| Gangster Squad | WB | [8.9] | 8.8 | 9.1 | 2.7–3.7 | 53 | |
| Broken City | Fox | [12.0] | 8.7 | 9.0 | 2.9–3.5 | 23 | |
| A Haunted House | OpenRoad | [8.5] | 7.7 | 8.3 | 2.4–3.4 | 45 | |
| Django Unchained | Weins | [7.0] | 7.8 | 8.2 | 2.2–3.4 | 165 | |
| Les Miserables | Uni | [6.1] | 7.3 | 7.8 | 2.0–3.0 | 150 | |
| The Hobbit | WB | [5.6] | 6.1 | 6.4 | 1.4–2.8 | 300 | |
| The Last Stand | LG | [9.2] | 5.7 | 6.3 | 2.0–2.5 | 17 | |
| Lincoln | DW/Fox/Dis | [5.0] | 5.3 | 5.4 | 1.4–2.5 | 175 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $122 million total Friday-Sunday, much better than the $113 estimate yesterday an now up 7% from the average comparable weekend the last four years and up 11% from the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND #3 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2013 | $122 | Mama $28, Broken City $9, The Last Stand $6 | |
| 2012 | $110 | Underworld Awakening $25, Red Tails $19, Extremely Loud $10 | |
| 2011 | $89 | No Strings Attached $20 | |
| 2010 | $128 | Legion $17, The Tooth Fairy $14, Extraordinary Measures $6 | |
| 2009 | $130 | Underworld Rise of the Lycans $21, Inkheart $7 | |
| Avg 2009-12 | $114 | ||
Check back later for the International Box Office report.
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