The 37th weekend of the year is looking like $81 million for the top 12 films, very close to the multi-year average for this weekend.
Opening at around 2,900 theaters Friday (just above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Insidious Chapter 2 from FilmDistrict and director James Wan should average $11,300 per theater for the weekend (for a $32.5 million opening three-day weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had an opening weekend of $5,300 per theater.] No early reviews yet at RottenTomatoes. Insidious Chapter 2 should be on track for $67 million domestic, above the $54.0 million domestic total for Insidious (which opened to $13.3 million April 1-3, 2011).
Opening at around 2,800 theaters Friday, The Family from Relativity and writer-director Luc Besson should average $3,800 per theater for the weekend (for a $10.5 million opening three-day weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had an opening weekend of $5,300 per theater.] No early reviews yet at RottenTomatoes for this film either. The Family should be on track for $27 million domestic.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 13-15, 2013 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Insidious Chapter 2 | FilmDistrict | PG13 | n/a | 32.5 | 67 | |
| The Family | Relativity | R | n/a | 10.5 | 27 | |
Riddick becomes the top holdover this weekend, and we expect Instructions Not Included to move ahead of The Butler, which is slowing down a bit.
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RETURNING FILMS September 13-15, 2013 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Riddick | Uni | -57% | 8.3 | 44 | |
| Instructions Not Included | LG/Sum | -26% | 6.0 | 42 | |
| Lee Daniels’ The Butler | Weins | -35% | 5.5 | 118 | |
| We’re the Millers | WB | -34% | 5.1 | 148 | |
| Planes | Dis | -36% | 2.7 | 93 | |
| One Direction: This Is Us | Sony | -43% | 2.3 | 32 | |
| Elysium | Sony | -43% | 1.8 | 96 | |
| Blue Jasmine | Sony | -30% | 1.7 | 38 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films in this comparable weekend have averaged $82 million total, ranking 49th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $69 million (while 2011 was $86 million and 2010 was $87 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a decent $81 million, down a modest 2% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but up 17% from the comparable weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years
9.14.2012
Resident Evil: Retribution SONY R Milla Jovovich Michelle Rodriguez
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $22 Actual: $21
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $44 Actual: $42
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $197
Finding Nemo 3D DIS G
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $25 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $59 Actual: $41
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $13
Last Ounce of Courage PICTURE PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $0 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $-2 Actual: $3
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
9.16.2011
Lion King 3D DIS G
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $15 Actual: $30
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $122 Actual: $94
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $78
Drive FILMDISR Ryan Gosling Carey Mulligan
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $12 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $41 Actual: $35
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $41
Straw Dogs SONY R James Marsden Kate Bosworth
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $12 Actual: $10
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
I Don’t Know How She Does It WEINS PG13 Sarah Jessica Parker Christina Hendricks
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $9 Actual: $9
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $21
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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