Weekend #38 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 16-18, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
| Blair Witch | LG | R | 53% | 21.5 | 57 | 60 | 117 | |
| Bridget Jones’s Baby | Uni | R | 83% | 13.5 | 40 | 30 | 70 | |
| Snowden | ORF | R | 49% | 7.0 | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
|
TOP RETURNING FILMS September 16-18, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Sully | WB | -38% | 21.9 | 110 | ||
| When the Bough Breaks | Sony | -62% | 5.4 | 31 | ||
| Don’t Breathe | Sony | -48% | 4.3 | 96 | ||
| Suicide Squad | WB | -48% | 3.0 | 315 | ||
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Sully: $29.0 million predicted and $35.0 million actual
- When the Bough Breaks: $16.5 million predicted and $14.2 million actual
- The Wild Life: $5.5 million predicted and $3.3 million actual
- The Disappointments Room: $1.7 million predicted and $1.4 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
About the Author
More articles by Mitch Metcalf »
