Weekend #33 of 2015 is looking like $124 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very close to the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
Straight Outta Compton from Universal should open with a $45.5 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are widely supportive: 82% positive overall so far. Straight Outta Conpton is on track for around $140 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $70 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $210 million.
The Man from U.N.C.L.E. from Warner Brothers should open with a $18.0 million three-day weekend. Critics are fairly supportive: 67% positive reviews so far. Man from U.N.C.L.E. is on track for around $57 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $85 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $142 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 14-16, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Straight Outta Compton | Uni | R | 82% | 45.5 | 140 | |
| The Man from U.N.C.L.E. | WB | PG13 | 67% | 18.0 | 57 | |
Mission: Impossible — Rogue Nation remains the sole significant holder at the box office.
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RETURNING FILMS August 14-16, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation | Par | -45% | 15.7 | 168 | |
| Fantastic Four | Fox | -68% | 8.2 | 61 | |
| The Gift | STX | -46% | 6.4 | 39 | |
| Vacation | WB | -42% | 5.2 | 58 | |
| Ant-Man | Dis | -43% | 4.5 | 172 | |
| Minions | Uni | -41% | 4.4 | 329 | |
| Trainwreck | Uni | -28% | 4.4 | 111 | |
| Ricki and the Flash | Sony | -35% | 4.3 | 23 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $121 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 27th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $129 million (while 2013 was $121 million, 2012 was $127 million and 2011 was $106 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a very typical $124 million, up a small +2% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -4% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
8.15.2014
The Expendables 3 LG/Sum PG13 Sylvester Stallone Jason Stratham
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $27 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $40 Actual: $39
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $167
Let’s Be Cops Fox R Jake Johnson Damon Wayans Jr
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $19 Actual: $18
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $69 Actual: $82
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $55
The Giver Weins PG13 Jeff Bridges Meryl Streep
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $15 Actual: $12
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $38 Actual: $45
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $22
8.16.2013
Lee Daniels’ The Butler Weins PG13 Forest Whitaker Oprah Winfrey
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $25
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $98 Actual: $117
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $60
Kick-Ass 2 Uni R Aaron Johnson Chloe Moretz
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $23 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $30 Actual: $29
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $32
Jobs Open Road PG13 Ashton Kutcher Dermot Mulroney
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $16 Actual: $16
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $20
Paranoia Rel PG13 Liam Hemsworth Gary Oldman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $12 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $4 Actual: $7
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $6
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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