Weekend #26 of 2015 is looking like $204 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for the same weekend the past few years (see comparisons below). This would be the third up weekend in a row after a stumbling start to summer.
Ted 2 from Universal should open with a $58.0 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are not great: 38% positive overall so far. Ted 2 is on track for around $176 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $282 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $458 million.
This would be somewhat below the $549 million worldwide total for Ted (released on 6.29.2012 with $219 million domestic total and $331 million overseas total).
Max from Warner Brothers should open with a $13.5 million three-day weekend. No reviews yet at RottenTomatoes. Max is on track for around $31 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $11 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $42 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 26-28, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Ted 2 | Uni | R | 38% | 58.0 | 176 | |
| Max | WB | PG | n/a | 13.5 | 31 | |
Inside Out joins Jurassic World as the main holdovers this weekend.
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RETURNING FILMS June 26-28, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Jurassic World | Uni | -47% | 56.9 | 650 | |
| Inside Out | Dis | -44% | 51.1 | 291 | |
| Spy | Fox | -35% | 7.4 | 106 | |
| San Andreas | WB | -40% | 5.3 | 154 | |
| Dope | ORP | -49% | 3.1 | 25 | |
| Insidious Chapter 3 | Foc | -43% | 2.3 | 53 | |
| Pitch Perfect 2 | Uni | -43% | 2.0 | 188 | |
| Mad Max: Fury Road | WB | -45% | 1.7 | 154 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $186 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 4th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $173 million (while 2013 was $183 million, 2012 was $197 million and 2011 was $192 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a solid $204 million, up +10% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +18% from the same weekend last year, which was quite soft.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
6.27.2014
Transformers: Age of Extinction Par PG13 Mark Wahlberg Nicola Peltz
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $101 Actual: $100
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $259 Actual: $245
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $846
6.28.2013
The Heat Fox R Sandra Bullock Melissa McCarthy
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $34 Actual: $39
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $156 Actual: $159
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $70
White House Down Sony PG13 Channing Tatum Jamie Foxx
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $39 Actual: $25
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $86 Actual: $73
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $132
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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