Weekend #48 of 2015 is looking like a decent $182 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up moderately from the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
The Good Dinosaur from Disney should open with $53.5 million weekend during the traditional Friday-Sunday weekend and $76.5 million for the first five days Wednesday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $215 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $330 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $545 million.
Creed from Warner Brothers should open with a $23.5 million Friday-Sunday weekend and $34.0 million from Wednesday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $90 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $110 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $200 million.
Victor Frankenstein from Fox should open with a $9.0 million weekend Friday-Sunday and $12.5 million Wednesday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $25 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $70 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $95 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND November 27-29, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | |||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | 5-Day Wed-Sun | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Good Dinosaur | Dis | PG | 87% | 53.5 | 76.5 | 215 | |
| Creed | WB | PG13 | 94% | 23.5 | 34.0 | 90 | |
| Victor Frankenstein | Fox | PG13 | 11% | 9.0 | 12.5 | 25 | |
Returning film chart:
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RETURNING FILMS November 27-29, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 | LG | -52% | 49.0 | 295 | ||
| Spectre | Sony | -27% | 11.0 | 200 | ||
| Peanuts Movie | Fox | -23% | 10.2 | 140 | ||
| The Night Before | Sony | -33% | 6.7 | 35 | ||
| The Secret in Their Eyes | STX | -36% | 4.2 | 20 | ||
| Love the Coopers | CBS | -17% | 3.4 | 25 | ||
| The Martian | Fox | -55% | 3.0 | 230 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $132 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 23rd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $155 million (while 2013 was $195 million, 2012 was $106 million and 2011 was $74 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a decent $182 million, up +38% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +17% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
11.28.2014
Penguins of Madagascar Fox PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $37 Actual: $25
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $75 Actual: $83
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $290
Theory of Everything FOC PG13 Eddie Redmayne Felicity Jones
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $24 Actual: $36
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $85
Horrible Bosses 2 WB R Jason Bateman Charlie Day
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $25 Actual: $15
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $55 Actual: $54
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $53
11.29.2013
Frozen (3D) Dis PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $48 Actual: $67
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $207 Actual: $400
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $873
Philomena Weins PG13 Steve Coogan Judi Dench
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $19 Actual: $38
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $62
The Book Thief Fox PG13 Geoffrey Rush Emily Watson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $18 Actual: $21
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $55
Homefront Open Road R Jason Statham James Franco
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $7 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $22 Actual: $20
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $23
Black Nativity Fox PG Forest Whitaker Angela Bassett
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $8 Actual: $7
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Oldboy FilmDis R Josh Brolin Elizabeth Olsen
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $1
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $2 Actual: $2
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $3
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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