Weekend #44 of 2015 is looking like a very weak $69 million for the top 12 films this weekend, well below the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below) as Halloween and all its distractions lands on a Saturday and derails movie attendance.
Our Brand Is Crisis from Warner Brothers should open with a $6.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $19 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $12 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $31 million.
Burnt from Weinstein Company should open with a $6.2 million weekend. The film is on track for around $17 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $8 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $25 million.
Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse from Paramount should open with a $4.3 million weekend. The film is on track for around $7 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $2 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $9 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND Oct 30-Nov 1, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Our Brand Is Crisis | WB | R | 42% | 6.5 | 19 | |
| Burnt | Weins | R | 36% | 6.2 | 17 | |
| Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse | Par | R | n/a | 4.3 | 7 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS Oct 30-Nov 1, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| The Martian | Fox | -25% | 11.8 | 210 | ||
| Bridge of Spies | Dis | -20% | 9.1 | 66 | ||
| Goosebumps | Sony | -43% | 8.8 | 85 | ||
| Last Witch Hunter | LG | -53% | 5.1 | 26 | ||
| Hotel Transylvania 2 | Sony | -44% | 5.0 | 172 | ||
| Steve Jobs | Uni | -46% | 3.8 | 29 | ||
| Paranormal Activity: Ghost Dimension | Par | -56% | 3.5 | 15 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $107 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 39th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $80 million (while 2013 was $119 million, 2012 was $125 million and 2011 was $104 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a very bad $69 million, down -35% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -13% from the same weekend last year. The last time Halloween landed on a Saturday (2009), this weekend slumped to $83 million, between a $106 million weekend Oct 23-25 and a $107 million weekend Nov 6-8.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
10.31.2014
Nightcrawler Open Road R Jake Gyllenhaal Bill Paxton
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $12 Actual: $10
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $38 Actual: $32
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $6
Before I Go to Sleep Clarius R Colin Firth Nicole Kidman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $3 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $2 Actual: $3
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $12
Saw 10th Anniversary LG/Sum R
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $1
Domestic Gross — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
11.1.2013
12 Years a Slave Fox R Chiwetel Ejiofor Michael Fassbender
Opening Weekend — Forecast: n/a Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $41 Actual: $57
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $131
Last Vegas CBS PG13 Michael Douglas Robert DeNiro
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $15 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $61 Actual: $64
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $70
Ender’s Game LG/Sum PG13 Asa Butterfield Harrison Ford
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $29 Actual: $27
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $67 Actual: $62
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $64
Free Birds Rel PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $54 Actual: $56
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $55
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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