>21 Jump Street joins the worldwide box office chart about a third of the way down the list, ranked #14 out of 44 films released wide in North America over the past three months. We expect its domestic gross to top out at $119 million, while the overseas total should expand from the current tally of $7 million to about $30 million. (Comparable movies R-rated comedies with limited overseas potential: Paul Blart: Mall Cop $183 million worldwide, with $146 million domestic and $37 million overseas; Step Brothers $128 million worldwide, with $100 million domestic and $28 million overseas.) If the $30 million overseas estimate holds, that would give 21 Jump Street a worldwide total right around $150 million against a reasonable cost to produce and market.
John Carter has moved up to $126 million overseas to date. If the international total ends up around $190 million, the worldwide figure should land around $270 million worldwide, just behind Journey 2: The Mysterious Island in terms of revenue but with vastly higher production and marketing costs.
The Lorax has only grossed $14 million overseas (up about $7 million from last week). We should see a substantial increase in overseas money in the next few weeks as it slowly opens around the world.