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July 6, 2011
 

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE June 27-July 3

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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in down 10% versus last year’s comparable week (the third significant decline in a row).  Year-to-date box office is down 8% versus last year.   

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between June 27 and July 3 grossed $331 million, down 10% versus the same week in 2010 and up marginally from the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, all films are down 8.1% from the same period last year (an almost $450 million decline in business), and all films year-to-date are down 1% versus the comparable year-to-date number averaged over the last four years.   
All Films June 27-July 3
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2010    Avg     2011    2010    Avg

Week #26     $367    $330    $331   
-10%    + 0%

Year to Date $5491   $5089   $5046   – 8%    – 1%

Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now: Transformers: Dark of the Moon ($356 million, 99th percentile for all wide releases the past two years), The Hangover Part II ($255 million, 95th percentile), Cars 2 ($176 million, 92nd percentile), Kung Fu Panda 2 ($161 million, 89th percentile), X-Men: First Class ($148 million, 88th percentile), Super 8 ($133 million, 86th percentile), Green Lantern ($114 million, 82nd percentile), Bad Teacher ($94 million, 76th percentile), Mr Popper’s Penguins ($67 million, 66th percentile), Larry Crowne ($39 million, 46th percentile), Monte Carlo ($18 million, 18th percentile).



The complete list of Total Domestic estimates can be found below.

Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections

The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) for the top movies were (unusually) below the actual weekend figures out today.  Transformers: Dark of the Moon is $400,000 above the Sunday projection, and Cars 2 is fully $1.2 million above the Sunday projection. 

      Weekend of                 Sunday    Monday   Showbuzz
      June 27-July 3             Studio    Weekend  Domestic
      (millions)                Estimate   Actual    Total

Transformers 3            (Par)   $97.4    $97.8     $356
Cars 2                    (Dis)   $25.1    $26.3     $176
Bad Teacher              (Sony)   $14.1    $14.5     $ 94-
Larry Crowne              (Uni)   $13.0    $13.1     $ 39
Super 8                   (Par)   $ 7.5    $ 7.9     $133 
Monte Carlo               (Fox)   $ 7.6    $ 7.4     $ 18
Green Lantern              (WB)   $ 6.3    $ 6.5     $114-
Mr Popper’s Penguins      (Fox)   $ 5.1    $ 5.5     $ 67
Bridesmaids               (Uni)   $ 3.5    $ 3.6     $165
Midnight in Paris        (Sony)   $ 2.9    $ 3.6     $ 44
X-Men: First Class        (Fox)   $ 2.9    $ 2.9     $148
The Hangover Part II       (WB)   $ 2.3    $ 2.4     $255
Pirates On Stranger Tides (Dis)   $ 2.2    $ 2.2     $245 

Read the latest about International box office numbers, and be sure to check out the Summer Movie Draft update. 


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.