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The Grey is coming in above forecast, pulling in $6.4 million Friday and an estimated $18.7 million for the three-day opening weekend, compared to a $15 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast. The Grey is headed for a preliminary $60 million total domestic.
One for the Money is beating our prediction: opening with $4.1 million Friday on its way to almost $12 million for Friday-Sunday, ahead of the $9.5 million prediction. The action drama about the Tuskegee Airmen is headed for a preliminary $27 million domestic. Early reviews are in (25 so far at RottenTomatoes), and this Katherine Heigl classic is earning an ignominious 0% positive reviews.
Man on a Ledge is failing to meet even modest expectations: a little over $2.5 million Friday and $7.2 million this weekend, below the $10 million forecast. Man on a Ledge is on track for only $17 million total domestic.
The Artist is looking to gross $3.2 million this weekend, averaging a low $3,220 at 897 theaters, below the $3.7 million forecast. The Oscar hopeful is headed for $38 million domestic.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
The Grey (Open Road) [$15.0] $18.7 $ 6.4 $ 60
One for the Money (LG) [$ 9.5] $11.9 $ 4.1 $ 27
Underworld Awakening (So)[$11.5] $11.6 $ 3.4 $ 67
Red Tails (Fox) [$11.5] $ 9.6 $ 2.8 $ 54
Man on a Ledge (Sum) [$10.0] $ 7.2 $ 2.5 $ 17
Extremely Loud & Inc (WB)[$ 8.0] $ 6.9 $ 2.0 $ 38
Contraband (Uni) [$ 7.0] $ 6.4 $ 1.9 $ 71
The Descendants (Fox) [$ —] $ 6.3 $ 1.7 $ 70
Beauty & Beast 3D (Dis) [$ 5.0] $ 5.1 $ 1.2 $ 54
Haywire (Rel) [$ 4.5] $ 4.0 $ 1.2 $ 27
Joyful Noise (WB) [$ —] $ 3.1 $ 0.9 $ 32
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $94 million total Friday-Sunday, up 2% from the same calendar weekend last year but down 8% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #4
2012 $ 94 The Grey $19, One for the Money $12, Man Ledge $7
2011 $ 92 The Rite $15, Sanctum $9
2010 $110 Edge of Darkness $17, When in Rome $12
2009 $103 Taken $25, The Uninvented $10, New in Town $7
2008 $102 Hannah Montana $31, The Eye $12
2008-11
Avg $102
Check back tomorrow for updated weekend figures and revised estimates for domestic final grosses.
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