Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #17 of 2014 looks like $102 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, better than the disaster of a weekend this time last year but still 6% below the norm for this weekend over the last several years.
Opening at 3,204 theaters Friday, The Other Woman from Fox grossed $9.3 million Friday, putting the film on track for a $25.0 million opening weekend (above our $17.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast). The film is pacing toward a decent three-day average of $7,800 per theater for the weekend (above the $5,333 opening weekend average for all wide-release films the last two years). Critical sentiment is dismissive (24% positive overall and 25% positive with top critics). The Other Woman is headed for $79 million total domestic.
Opening at 2,647 theaters Friday, Brick Mansions from Relativity grossed $3.5 million Friday and is headed for a $9.9 million opening weekend (near our $9.5 million forecast). The film is pacing toward a weak three-day average of $3,700 per theater for the weekend. Critical sentiment is weak (30% positive overall and 32% positive with top critics). Brick Mansions is headed for maybe $27 million total domestic.
Opening at 2,027 theaters Friday, The Quiet Ones from Open Road Films grossed a paltry $1.5 million Friday and is pacing toward a $3.9 million opening weekend (well below our $6.5 million forecast). The film is pacing toward a terrible three-day average of $1,900 per theater for the weekend. Critical sentiment is soft (40% positive overall but only 18% positive with top critics). The Quiet Ones is headed for about $6 million total domestic after a very rapid theater count reduction starting early next week.
Heaven Is for Real and Captain America: The Winter Soldier are locked in a tight duel for second place this weekend and bragging rights as the top holdover.
| Weekend 17: April 25-27, 2014 | ($ millions) | |||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Actual Friday Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| The Other Woman | Fox | [17.5] | 25.0 | 9.3 | 79 | |
| Heaven Is For Real | Sony | [14.9] | 15.4 | 4.0 | 95 | |
| Captain America: The Winter Soldier | Dis | [15.4] | 15.1 | 4.4 | 259 | |
| Rio 2 | Fox | [13.4] | 13.6 | 3.3 | 132 | |
| Brick Mansions | Rel | [9.5] | 9.9 | 3.5 | 27 | |
| Transcendence | WB | [4.9] | 3.9 | 1.2 | 20 | |
| The Quiet Ones | LG/Sum | [6.5] | 3.9 | 1.5 | 6 | |
| Bears | Dis | [—] | 3.7 | 1.2 | 19 | |
| Divergent | LG/Sum | [3.4] | 3.5 | 1.1 | 150 | |
| God’s Not Dead | Free | [—] | 2.8 | .82 | 62 | |
| Draft Day | LG/Sum | [—] | 2.8 | .82 | 32 | |
| A Haunted House 2 | OpenR | [3.9] | 2.8 | .96 | 14 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $102 million total Friday-Sunday, down 6% from the four-year average for the comparable weekend but up 24% from the really weak total the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND 17 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2014 | $102 | The Other Woman $25.0 Brick Mansions $9.9, The Quiet Ones $3.9 | |
| 2013 | $82 | Pain and Gain $20.2, The Big Wedding $7.6 | |
| 2012 | $97 | Pirates: Band of Misfits! $11.1, Five-Year Engagement $10.6, Safe $7.9, The Raven $7.3 | |
| 2011 | $145 | Fast Five $86.2, Prom $4.7, Hoodwinked Too! $4.1 | |
| 2010 | $92 | A Nightmare on Elm Street $32.9, Furry Vengeance $6.6 | |
| Avg 2010-13 | $111 | ||
Check back tomorrow for more complete Weekend Studio Estimates based on Saturday’s actual box office, as well as the International Box Office report.
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