>
Think Like a Man from Sony opened with $12.20 million Friday and is headed for a $32.5 million opening weekend, far exceeding the $22 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast. The comedy written by Steve Harvey (and based on his book) should average a phenomenal $16,100 per theater in a relatively low 2,015 theaters. Think Like a Man is headed for a preliminary $105 million in North America.
The Lucky One from Warner Brothers opened with $9.13 million Friday and is headed for an estimated $24.0 million opening weekend, also above the $19.0 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast. The Zac Efron romance drama should average $7,600 this weekend at 3,155 theaters. The Lucky One is headed for a preliminary $65 million total domestic.
Don’t cry for The Hunger Games. Although it is now in third place this weekend, it’s estimated $14.0 million weekend is down only 34% from last weekend and is 14 times what an average film grosses in the fifth weekend. The Hunger Games will move past $356 million on Sunday, and we have adjusted the estimated final domestic number up again to $387 million.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
Think Like a Man (Sony) [$22.0] $32.5 $12.2 $105
The Lucky One (WB) [$19.0] $24.0 $ 9.1 $ 65
The Hunger Games (LG) [$13.0] $14.0 $ 4.0 $387
Chimpanzee (Dis) [$ 6.5] $10.5 $ 3.5 $ 30
Three Stooges (Fox) [$10.0] $ 8.2 $ 2.3 $ 46–
Cabin in the Woods (LG) [$ 7.8] $ 7.7 $ 2.5 $ 46
Titanic 3D (Par) [$ 7.5] $ 5.2 $ 1.3 $ 72-
American Reunion (Uni) [$ 5.8] $ 5.3 $ 1.7 $ 60
21 Jump Street (Sony) [$ 4.3] $ 4.5 $ 1.4 $141
Mirror Mirror (Rel) [$ 4.1] $ 4.0 $ 1.1 $ 65
Wrath of the Titans (WB) [$ ---] $ 3.8 $ 1.0 $ 85
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $122 million total Friday-Sunday, up 1% from the same calendar weekend last year (which was helped by the strong second weekend of Rio) but up 24% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #16
2012 $122 Think Like a Man $32.5, Lucky One $24, Chimp $10.5
2011 $121 TP’s Madea’s Big Happy Family $25, Water for
Elephants $17, African Cats $6
2010 $ 90 Back-Up Plan $12, The Losers $9, Oceans $6
2009 $104 Obsessed $28, Fighting $11, Earth $9
2008 $ 80 Big Mama $17, Harold & Kumar Escape $15
2008-11
Avg $ 99
Check back tomorrow for updated weekend figures and revised estimates for domestic final grosses.
###
About the Author
