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December 8, 2018

EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Ralph,” “The Grinch,” Golden Globe Nominees Lead Holdover Weekend

 

The lack of any new wide openings and the arrival of the year’s Golden Globe nominations are making for a strong holdover weekend, although for some titles more than others.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET (Disney) continued to decline rather swiftly, down 38% from last Friday to $3.5M, where Moana dropped 36% and Coco went down 33% on their parallel days.  Ralph is heading for a $15.5M weekend, and may reach $215M in the US.

THE GRINCH (Illumination/Universal) is holding much more steadily, down 15% from last Friday to $3.3M, for a $15M weekend and a likely $250M+ total in the US.

CREED II (MGM/New Line/Warners) dropped 45% from last Friday to $2.7M, steeper than the first Creed‘s 35% drop on the parallel day, for a $9.5M weekend and a US total that might reach $125M in the US.

FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD (Warners) stabilized, with a 42% drop to $1.7M that was slightly better than the first Beast‘s 44% drop on the parallel day, but it’s still running far below its predecessor, and with a $6.5M weekend, it will be on track for $175M in the US.

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY (Regency/20th) did well with the Golden Globes, and dipped 25% from last Friday to $1.7M, for a $6M weekend as it heads towards $185M in the US.

INSTANT FAMILY (Paramount) is finding friendly word of mouth, down 27% on its 4th Friday to $1.5M, for a $5.5M weekend, although it still may not get past $65M in the US.

GREEN BOOK (DreamWorks/Participant/Universal) increased its theatre count by 11%, and scored major Golden Globe nominations, slipping only 7% from last Friday to $1M, an excellent hold but one that still brings its weekend to just $3.5M, and uncertain prospects beyond $30M in the US.

THE POSSESSION OF HANNAH GRACE (Screen Gems/Sony) may have benefited most from the lack of new competition, falling a reasonable (for its genre) 60% from last Friday to $1M, for a $3M weekend that may get it past $15M in the US.

ROBIN HOOD (Summit/Lionsgate) continued to fade, down 32% on its 3rd Friday to $900K, for a $3M weekend and a US total that still may not see $35M.

WIDOWS (Regency/20th) struck out with the Globes and dropped 28% on its 4th Friday to $900K, heading toward a $3M weekend and a $45M US total.

A STAR IS BORN (MGM/Warners) timed its expansion to 50% more theatres (including a 1-week run in IMAX) for Golden Globe weekend, and it paid off with a 30% bump from last Friday to $700K for a $2.5M weekend and a trajectory that should bring it past the magic $200M mark in the US.

The weekend’s key arthouse expansion was THE FAVOURITE (Fox Searchlight) and its move to 91 theatres.  A $1.5M weekend would give it a $17K per-theatre average, which compares well with the $10K average Darkest Hour had at 84 theatres, and the $14K for Victoria & Abdul at 77.  Favourite intends to reach the low end of wide release next weekend.

The arthosue newcomers were led by MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS (Focus/Universal), with a $45K weekend per-theatre average at 4 NY/LA houses, a fair but not notable total compared to The Favourite‘s $106K opening average at 4.  BEN IS BACK (Roadside) launched with a an OK $20K weekend average at 4.  VOX LUX (Neon) may similarly average $19K at 6 (it includes a San Francisco opening along with NY & LA).



About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on screened.com and the-burg.com. In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."




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