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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 27-29

Posted April 26, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

>Weekend #17 of 2012 looks like it will be about $112 million for the top 12 films, down 23% from last year’s comparable weekend (when Fast Five exploded with an $86 million opening weekend) and down 17% from the four-year average for this weekend.  A lack of compelling new product should make this weekend the […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions JUNE 13-15

Posted June 11, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #24 of 2014 is looking like a very sturdy $201 million for the top 12 films this weekend, 31% above the norm for this weekend and 2% above the same weekend last year. Opening at over 4,100 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), How to Train Your […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 12.17.2017

Posted December 17, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI (Lucasfilm/Disney) had an excellent Saturday for a blockbuster of its size, dropping 39% from Friday, where The Force Awakens had fallen 43%.  That cemented Last Jedi as the 2nd-highest opening in US history at $220M (down 11% from Force Awakens)–and that studio estimate may even be a tad […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Aquaman” Stays Strong, Solid Start For “Escape Room”

Posted January 5, 2019 by Mitch Salem

  Box office years typically start slow, with strong holds for holiday openings, and that’s proving to be the case for 2019 as well.  AQUAMAN (DC/Warners) will retain its crown, as early numbers at Deadline indicate a 46% decline on its 3rd Friday to $9.1M, which should mean a $30M weekend, and a path that […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 24-26: Crappy Films Mark the Beginning of the 7-Week Box Office Drought

Posted August 22, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #34 of 2012 looks like a typically bad fourth weekend of August.  Three shitty new films open and a political documentary goes semi-wide, and each should be well under $10 million for the weekend.  The top 12 films this weekend should total $89 million, about the same pace for the comparable weekend the last […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions APRIL 11-13

Posted April 9, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #15 of 2014 is looking like a very good $149 million for the top 12 films, 41% above the typical volume for this weekend the past few years ($112 million) and the second strong weekend in a row. Opening at around 3,900 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Jurassic World: Fallen KIngdom” Drops But Holds Lead, “Sicario 2″” & “Uncle Drew” Start OK

Posted June 30, 2018 by Mitch Salem

  After a significantly lower start, JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM (Legendary/Perfect World/Universal) is having a sharper drop in its 2nd weekend than its predecessor.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, Friday was down 70% from last week to $17.4M, compared to a 63% drop for the first Jurassic World on its 2nd Friday.  The number […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 4.14.2024

Posted April 14, 2024 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  CIVIL WAR (A24) marked its studio’s biggest swing to date, with costs that will approach $100M for production and worldwide marketing.  (A24 limited its risk by pre-selling some overseas territories to subdistributors.)  The early results were promising, with a studio-record $25.7M weekend, alhough tepid audience surveys and the fact that the audience was […]

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