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Very early numbers say that TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON is headed for about $97M overseas this weekend, which of course is a huge amount of money but also a 56% drop from last weekend–higher than the 52% domestic decline. (UPDATE: According to the Hollywood Reporter, the Transformers number is actually $93M for the overseas weekend, a 58% drop –putting $1B just a little farther away.) The picture should could still make it to $1 billion, with $645M already in the bank, but a lot will depend on just how dented it is by next week’s global Harry Potter assault.
In order to get ZOOKEEPER to its $21M weekend estimate, Sony is predicting a low Sunday drop (following a Saturday that had virtually no matinee bump–possibly they should have marketed more to kids and less to NBA fans). HORRIBLE BOSSES, which despite its R rating had a bigger Saturday increase, is predicting a higher Sunday fall, so we’ll see tomorrow if Sony’s estimate holds up.
LARRY CROWNE will struggle to make more than $40M domestically. That would make it Tom Hanks’ lowest grosser (where he’s the star) since The Ladykillers in 2004–which had been his lowest since Bonfire Of the Vanities in 1990.
A BETTER LIFE expanded to 153 theatres, with a disastrous affect on its per-screen number: $2052. If there was a way to sell the movie, Summit didn’t find it. Although the $30K per theatre earned by BEATS, RHYTHM & LIFE at 4 is a very nice number, it’s a lot lower than the $40K that seemed in its grasp yesterday–this suggests that the Friday numbers were hyped up with in-theatre appearances and Q&As.
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