July 15, 2018

Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 7.15.2018


OPENINGS:  HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION (Sony Animation/Columbia/Sony) clocked in with a reliable $44.1M weekend, just about midway between the first Transylvania‘s $42.5M and the second’s $48.5M.  (Sticklers might note that this the first of the franchise to feature Thursday night screenings, giving it a slightly longer “weekend”.)  There are some other family movies on the way (Teen Titans Go! To the Movies, Christopher Robin), but Transylvania 3 should reach $150M+ in the US and keep the relatively low-priced animated franchise ($200M in production and worldwide marketing costs) going.  Overseas, it’s now in 43 markets and has a $54.8M total after a $46.4M weekend, with China and much of Europe still to open, and we’ll see if it can sustain the jump that Transylvania 2 ($303.5M) achieved internationally over the original ($210.1M).

The elevator stopped well short of the penthouse for SKYSCRAPER (Legendary/Universal), a major disappointment at $25.5M, making it one of the worst action movie openings of Dwayne Johnson’s career.  Notably, his family audience didn’t show up, with a 3% drop on Saturday compared to bumps of 20% for Rampage and 13% for San Andreas.  Things were even worse overseas, where Skyscraper only managed $40.4M in 57 territories.  China is opening next week (along with Italy), but even a big number there won’t drag the movie out of red ink, considering its $250M in production/marketing costs and the fact that in China, the studio will only get 25% of each dollar in ticket sales.  No tears for Johnson, though, who has the Jumanji sequel and the Fast & the Furious spin-off dead ahead.

As per its studio’s usual preference, SORRY TO BOTHER YOU (Annapurna) jumped quickly into low-wide release at 805 theatres, where it had a $4.3M weekend that translated into a $5300 per-theatre average.  That’s a much bigger average than the $2900 Won’t You Be My Neighbor had at 893, and stacks up with the $5100 average for Lady Bird at 791.  That film stayed in theatres for 5 months thanks to awards season, and we’ll see whether Bother You can show anything like that kind of stamina.

HOLDOVERS:  ANT-MAN & THE WASP (Marvel/Disney) dropped 62% in its 2nd weekend, sharper than the 53% for the first Ant-Man, the 56% for last year’s Guardians of the Galaxy 2, and even the 59% for the relatively unloved Avengers: Age of UltronWasp seems likely to fall short of $200M in the US, although it should still beat the original’s $180.2M by a bit.  Overseas, it’s at $150.9M after a $35.3M weekend in 44 markets, with China and much of Europe to come.

After a hit on Friday that was probably due to the arrival of Hotel Transylvania 3, INCREDIBLES 2 (Pixar/Disney) stabilized to a 43% Weekend 5 drop to $16.2M, still on track for $565M in the US.  It’s at $321.1M overseas after a $33.3M weekend in 43 territories, with much of the world (although not China) still to open.

JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM (Legendary/Perfect World/Universal) fell 46% in Weekend 4 to $15.5M, and will probably finish shy of $400M in the US, which would be a 40% drop from the first World.  It has a far bigger $771.4M overseas after a $26.7M weekend in all major markets, $256.1M of that number from China.

THE FIRST PURGE (Blumhouse/Perfect World/Universal) dropped 48% to $9.1M, and a $67M US total would keep it a bit above the original Purge and below the sequels.  Overseas, it’s at $23.1M after a $6.2M weekend in 27 territories.

SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO (Black Label/Columbia/Sony) fell 50% to $3.9M, and will barely top $50M in the US.  Things are much worse overseas, where it’s at $15.8M after a $1.4M weekend in 50+ markets.

UNCLE DREW (Lionsgate) is heading for home viewing, down 51% to $3.2M, and probably won’t reach $45M in the US.

OCEAN’S EIGHT (Village Roadshow/Warners) continues to hold well in the US, down 43% in Weekend 6 to $2.9M, and on track for $140M.  Things are quieter overseas, though, where it’s at $119.2M after a $4.3M weekend in 60 territories.  It’s likely to be the first in the franchise not to even match its US result internationally.

WON’T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR (Focus/Universal) seems to have stopped expanding, and it had its first modest drop, by 27% to $1.9M.  It still has a good chance of getting past $20M in the US.

LIMITED RELEASE:  EIGHTH GRADE (A24) had an excellent start, averaging $63.1K at 4 NY/LA arthouses.  That’s not quite Lady Bird‘s $91.1K debut, but Eighth Grade has no A-list names to cite, and it’s opening outside awards season.  DON’T WORRY, HE WON’T GET FAR ON FOOT (Amazon) was much more subdued with a $20.1K average at 4.  3 IDENTICAL STRANGERS (Neon) expanded solidly to 170 with a $6900 average.  LEAVE NO TRACE (Bleecker Street) widened to 311 with an OK $3700 average.

NEXT WEEKEND:  A trio of sequels in various genres, including THE EQUALIZER 2 (Columbia/Sony), MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN (Universal) and UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB (BH Tilt/Blumhouse/Universal).  The marquee indie is BLINDSPOTTING (Summit/Lionsgate)


About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on and In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."